Ukraine has agreed to the 30-day ceasefire proposal laid ahead by the US, a step that can prevent a three-year war with Russia with Moscow. The agreement was signed between the US and Ukrainian authorities during a high-day talks in Saudi Arabia, where Washington also committed to resume military assistance and intelligence sharing with also.
The deal came two weeks after a warm oval office confrontation between President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodimier Zelanski, where American military support was frozen. But with Ukraine now agreeing to ceasefire, Trump is pressurizing Vladimir Putin to accept the conditions.
Trump, who has long deployed himself as a dealmaker-in-chief, told reporters at the White House: “Hopefully, Putin will agree, and we can get the show on the road. it takes two to tango.”
why it matters
- If Russia agrees, it would mark the break of the first conversation in hostility as Moscow began its full -scale invasion in 2022. A ceasefire will not only provide immediate relief to the battered front lines of Ukraine, but can also serve as an early point for comprehensive peace talks.
- However, the Kremlin remains non -communal and is expected to present his terms. Russia has a history of violating ceasefire, and Putin can use the opportunity to demand long -term regional concessions or safety guarantee that Ukraine and its Western colleagues are unlikely to accept.
- US State Secretary Marco Rubio made it clear that Onas is now on Moscow: “If Russians say that we will know what is the obstacle here.”
Big picture
- Jeddah’s talks lasted for eight hours and took place under the leadership of Rubio and National Security Advisor Mike Waltz.
- In return for the acceptance of Ukraine’s ceasefire, Trump agreed to lift freeze on military aid and intelligence sharing, which was stopped for more than a week.
- Trump’s messenger, Steve Witcoff, is ready to meet Putin in Moscow on Thursday to discuss the proposal.
- The US-Ukraine joint detail indicates that the ceasefire can be extended by “by mutual agreement” beyond 30 days.
- Ukraine’s European ally will play a role in the peace process, but the limit of their participation is not clear.
- Meanwhile, Russia is moving forward in the battlefield, especially in the Kursk region, where Ukrainian soldiers are struggling to establish a strategic leg. Ukrainian forces have also intensified drone attacks on the Russian region, indicating that the Kiev is still ready to fight if the ceasefire collapses.
What are they saying
- Trump: “Hopefully, Putin will agree, and we can get the show on the road. it takes two to tango.”
- Zelenskyy: “Ukraine is ready for peace. Russia has to show if it is ready to end war. ,
- Rubio: “The ball is now in his court. If they reject it, the world will see who is lengthening the war. ,
- Kremlin spokesman Dimitri Peskov: “We are studying the offer and waiting for the details from Washington.”
- UK Prime Minister Keer Starrer: “The ball is now in the Russian court. Russia should now agree to a ceasefire and fight. ,
Zoom in: Conditions of ceasefire
The ceasefire, if implemented, will cover all active front lines – not only aerial and missile strikes, but also the land in election fighter areas.
Ukraine has pushed for safety guarantee to prevent Russia to re -organize Russia and launch a fresh aggressive.
The US will oversee compliance and continue to provide intelligence to Ukraine. Ukraine and America also agreed to finalize an important mineral deal, which had stayed with Trump on February 28 after a meeting of the Oval Office.
The agreement was seen as a smart move by Kiev, which was focusing international focus on Russia. Samuel Charp, a senior political scientist at Rand, explained: “They are putting on Ons on Russia either to accept an arrangement that they will otherwise completely oppose or will protest or put at risk.”
between the lines
Trump’s relationship with Putin has been unpredictable. If the Russia rejects the ceasefire, Trump may have to take a tough stance, something he has avoided so far.
If Putin accepts, Trump may claim a diplomatic win – a major talk for his reunion campaign.
However, the ceasefire also increases concerns for long -term security of Ukraine. Putin’s previous tasks suggest that he may exploit the Trus to strengthen the Russian positions, seeking unrealistic terms for the final peace agreement.
Russia is involved in the long position for peace talks:
- Recognition of Russian control over occupied Ukrainian regions.
- A restriction on Ukraine joining NATO.
- Demonetisation of Ukrainian forces.
- None of these demands is acceptable to Ukraine, the establishment of the platform for a possible diplomatic deadlock.
What will happen next?
- Vicchoff’s Moscow Meeting: Trump’s messengers will meet Putin at the end of this week, so that Russia’s reaction can be gauged.
- Rubio’s G7 Discussions: State Secretary will visit Canada to consult American colleagues if Russia rejects the deal.
- Possible restrictions on Russia: If the Moscow denies ceasefire, the US may impose harsh ban or increase support for Ukraine.
- Ukraine’s military strategy: If the ceasefire fails, Kiev is expected to move into a defensive strategy, continuing the target drone strike on the Russian infrastructure.
what to watch
How Russia responds: Putin may reject the deal outright or propose their own version of a ceasefire with conditions that Ukraine and its colleagues will not accept.
European Response: NATO and European Union leaders must be watching closely. If Russia refuses, they can increase military assistance to Ukraine or insist on strong economic measures against Moscow.
Trump’s next step: The US President is on a test on a test-voting to end his desire to end the war with his long-standing reluctance to face the poison.
(With input from agencies)
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