Can Trump Iran atomic deal 2.0 to launch 2.0 during the tenure of the second White House?

Iran’s luck may seem completely different during the second term of President Donald Trump – whether Tehran is well or very ill.

In amazing moves, Trump has now expressed a desire to make a deal with Iran several times – recently Irani supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei via a letter to Ayatollah Ali Khamenei last week, asking that the two leaders should “talk” on the nuclear program of the Middle Eastern country. It comes in the opposite of seven years ago in 2018, when Trump took the US out of the original 2015 nuclear deal, triggering a nojiv in the US-Irani relations.

Trump said in an interview with The New York Post in early February, “I would like to make a deal with Iran with a non-atom.

Nevertheless, Trump has again launched his “maximum pressure” restrictions campaign, which has been since the retaining office at the oil-export country. Meanwhile, Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Khamenei refused to leave Tehran’s nuclear program and reprimanded Trump’s outreach. On Saturday, the Iranian leader condemned the “threatening governments” to anonymous efforts to make a deal and said that his government would not talk under pressure.

Iran is under pressure-from its own spilling economy, the dramatic loss of regional colleagues like Bashar al-Assad in Syria, and the weakening of proxy forces such as Hizbullah in Lebanon after Israel.

But while its strength in those regions has reduced greatly during Trump’s first term, taking advantage of it in another aspect – the sheer volume of nuclear material that he has produced – now is very high.

Iran is rich and stocking uranium at its highest level, which inspires the International Atomic Energy Agency, the United Nations nuclear guard to issue several warnings.

A United Nations news release read from March 3, “Iran remains the only non-atomic weapon state to enrich uranium at this stage, which increases significant concerns over the development of potential weapons.”

Sanam Vakil, director of the Middle East and North Africa Program A, “Iran continues to enrich the rich (uranium) as part of its leverage-building exercise.”Tea Chautham House told CNBC. “The more it is, the more it can be closed, and it can be an agreement for any deal that will fall under the line.”

Tehran insisted that its program is only for civil energy purposes. But Iran’s nuclear enrichment has reached 60% purity, according to IAEA – more than dramatically enrichment limit A small technical step in the 2015 atomic deal, and 90%of arms-grade purity level.

IAEA chief Rafael Gossi said in 2021, “The rich countries at 60% are very serious. Only bomb makers are reaching this level.”

Under the 2015 nuclear deal, formally called Joint Comprehensive Plan (JCPOA), Iran committed to caping 3.67% rich uranium levels at 300 kg.

Iran now has about 22 times that content, energy intelligence report, IAEA. And Trump has not ruled out the US or Israeli military attacks on Iran to prevent it from making bombs.

Nevertheless, Iran is a major preference towards making a deal that will lift the restrictions, a managing partner of Vienna-based consultancy Eurasian Nexus Partners Bijhan Khajahpaour.

Problem?

“Both sides have a deep mistrust,” Khajahpore told CNBC. “In particular, Zelansky’s public episode at the Oval Office reminded the Iranians that it would be difficult to believe in a possible future deal with the Trump administration.”

The visit to the White House by Ukrainian President Volodimare Zelanski unexpectedly evolved into a warm and public conflict with Trump in late February.

“On the other hand,” Khajhpore said, “A potential lifting or lack of restrictions would be indispensable to the trajectory of the Iranian economy.”

But the US and Trump now takes great advantage of the Foundation for Defense of Democracy, called Behanam Ben Talu, a senior companion.

Ben Talebloo said, “President Trump now has a lot of benefit when he first entered the office against Iran in 2017.” “Israel has degraded some regional screen and structural issues of the Islamic Republic and dull US sanctions.

“And when Iran does not have a leverage as an increase in the form of an increase in nuclear capacity, my nuclear card is his only card to play at the moment,” he said.

Regarding the objection of the Iranian supreme leader to interact under pressure, Behanam said that “The Islamic Republic does not always say until he says yes.” He also argued that the country “continues to enrich uranium and … increases its reserves of highly rich uranium because it wants an atomic weapon,” rather than that it just wants to benefit in the talks.

“Tehran wants to implicate Trump in talks, it is directly or through Russian arbitration,” he said, referring to the reported role, Russia has been asked to play in potential talks by the Trump administration.

“This is not to solve the nuclear case, but to blunt maximum pressure and create obstacles for a potential Israel or US strike.”

Instead of choosing to attack or not compromising to attack a deal, Iran’s government is likely to “just through the model” and choose a third option to buy time, Chautham House’s Wall Holds.

He said that both of them see “the region and West Iran as weakened to proceed at this time” and said to get a better understanding of the priorities and terms of Trump’s priorities and the terms.

Additionally, “Iran is going to start interacting with Europe as a stalling mechanism for snapback restrictions and to maintain the door for dialogue,” Washington develops his strategy and priorities. “